SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umm Salal win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Qatar SC had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Umm Salal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Qatar SC win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Umm Salal | Draw | Qatar SC |
42.62% ( -0.61) | 23.62% ( 0.16) | 33.75% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 62.21% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.37% ( -0.64) | 39.62% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.02% ( -0.67) | 61.97% ( 0.66) |
| Umm Salal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.06% ( -0.52) | 18.93% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.56% ( -0.87) | 50.44% ( 0.86) |
| Qatar SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.74% ( -0.05) | 23.26% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.82% ( -0.08) | 57.18% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Umm Salal | Draw | Qatar SC |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.43% Total : 42.62% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 33.75% |
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