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Qatar Stars League | Gameweek 5
Sep 29, 2023 at 4pm UK
Al-Khwar Stadium

Al Shamal
1 - 3
Umm Salal

Olwan (45+1')
Ebrahimi (28'), Al Ansari (52'), Al Jabri (81'), El Rady Mohamed (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ibrahim Al-Nasr (27'), Gorre (53'), Delort (90+3' pen.)
Coverage of the Qatar Stars League clash between Al Shamal and Umm Salal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Mu'aidar 2-2 Al Shamal
Sunday, September 24 at 6pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Umm Salal 3-1 Al Ahli
Saturday, September 23 at 6pm in Qatar Stars League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umm Salal win with a probability of 55.07%. A win for Al Shamal had a probability of 22.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Umm Salal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Al Shamal win was 2-1 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Umm Salal would win this match.

Result
Al ShamalDrawUmm Salal
22.64% (0.793 0.79) 22.28% (0.428 0.43) 55.07% (-1.219 -1.22)
Both teams to score 57.99% (-0.372 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (-1 -1)41.26% (1.002 1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.34% (-1.026 -1.03)63.66% (1.027 1.03)
Al Shamal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.15% (0.146 0.15)31.85% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.71% (0.166 0.17)68.29% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)
Umm Salal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.09% (-0.729 -0.73)14.91% (0.732 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.72% (-1.412 -1.41)43.28% (1.413 1.41)
Score Analysis
    Al Shamal 22.64%
    Umm Salal 55.08%
    Draw 22.27%
Al ShamalDrawUmm Salal
2-1 @ 5.92% (0.162 0.16)
1-0 @ 5.43% (0.264 0.26)
2-0 @ 3.11% (0.162 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.26% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.19% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 22.64%
1-1 @ 10.33% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.213 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.27%
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 9.04% (0.176 0.18)
0-2 @ 8.6% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-3 @ 6.24% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-3 @ 5.46% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-3 @ 3.57% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.97% (-0.167 -0.17)
0-4 @ 2.6% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-4 @ 1.7% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-5 @ 1.13% (-0.095 -0.1)
0-5 @ 0.99% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 55.08%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Al Mu'aidar 2-2 Al Shamal
Sunday, September 24 at 6pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al Shamal 3-4 Al-Rayyan
Saturday, September 2 at 6.15pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al Wakrah 2-2 Al Shamal
Sunday, August 27 at 6.30pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al Arabi 1-1 Al Shamal
Wednesday, August 16 at 6.30pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Umm Salal 3-1 Al Ahli
Saturday, September 23 at 6pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Umm Salal 2-2 Qatar SC
Friday, September 1 at 6.15pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al Arabi 1-1 Umm Salal
Sunday, August 27 at 4.30pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Umm Salal 1-3 Al-Sadd
Friday, August 18 at 6.30pm in Qatar Stars League


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