Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 81.9%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Livingston Under-21s had a probability of 6.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 3-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.73%), while for a Livingston Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.