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Scottish Challenge Cup | Second Round
Sep 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
Central Park
AA

Cowdenbeath
0 - 2
Alloa


Hutton (68'), Clarke (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Boyd (45+1'), Scougall (79')
King (21'), Niang (64')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Second Round clash between Cowdenbeath and Alloa Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Cowdenbeath win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.

Result
CowdenbeathDrawAlloa Athletic
36.29%25.17%38.54%
Both teams to score 57.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.51%46.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.24%68.77%
Cowdenbeath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96%25.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.29%59.71%
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.18%23.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42%58%
Score Analysis
    Cowdenbeath 36.29%
    Alloa Athletic 38.54%
    Draw 25.16%
CowdenbeathDrawAlloa Athletic
1-0 @ 8.26%
2-1 @ 8.2%
2-0 @ 5.72%
3-1 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 1.31%
4-2 @ 0.94%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 36.29%
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 5.97%
2-2 @ 5.88%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 8.56%
1-2 @ 8.5%
0-2 @ 6.14%
1-3 @ 4.06%
0-3 @ 2.94%
2-3 @ 2.81%
1-4 @ 1.46%
0-4 @ 1.05%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 38.54%

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