Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Cowdenbeath win was 1-0 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.