Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Cowdenbeath win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stranraer would win this match.