Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 62.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Dundee United Reserves had a probability of 17.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Dundee United Reserves win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.