SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | East Fife | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Elgin City | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Forfar Athletic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Montrose | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Peterhead | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Queen of the South | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.5%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Queen of the South |
34.25% ( 0.08) | 23.85% | 41.89% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 61.5% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.38% ( 0.02) | 40.62% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37% ( 0.03) | 63% ( -0.02) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.55% ( 0.05) | 23.45% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.54% ( 0.08) | 57.46% ( -0.08) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.34% ( -0.02) | 19.66% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.36% ( -0.04) | 51.64% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 34.25% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.85% | 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 41.9% |
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