SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ayr United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | East Fife | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Elgin City | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Forfar Athletic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Elgin City |
32.92% ( 0.03) | 27% ( -0.01) | 40.08% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.45% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.24% ( 0.05) | 54.76% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.93% ( 0.04) | 76.07% ( -0.04) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.89% ( 0.04) | 31.11% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.57% ( 0.05) | 67.43% ( -0.05) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.22% ( 0.01) | 26.77% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.94% ( 0.02) | 62.06% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Elgin City |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 32.92% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.71% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.07% |
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