SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | East Fife | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Elgin City | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Forfar Athletic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Ross County | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | St Johnstone | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | St Mirren | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 68.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 12.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Elgin City win it was 1-0 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | St Johnstone |
12.12% ( -1.08) | 19.06% ( -0.93) | 68.82% ( 2.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.56% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.66% ( 1.47) | 45.34% ( -1.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.32% ( 1.39) | 67.68% ( -1.39) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.96% ( -0.83) | 47.04% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.48% ( -0.63) | 82.51% ( 0.63) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.92% ( 1.01) | 12.08% ( -1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.39% ( 2.09) | 37.61% ( -2.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.25)2-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.9% Total : 12.12% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.44) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.37)2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.71% Total : 19.06% | 0-2 @ 12.69% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 12% ( -0.29)1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 8.94% ( 0.47)1-3 @ 6.75% ( 0.2)0-4 @ 4.73% ( 0.42)1-4 @ 3.56% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 2% ( 0.25)1-5 @ 1.51% ( 0.15)2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.18% Total : 68.81% |
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