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Scottish Challenge Cup | Quarter-Finals
Nov 17, 2023 at 7.40pm UK
Falkirk Community Stadium
DU

Falkirk
4 - 2
Dundee Utd

Morrison (4', 71'), Lang (65'), Yeats (69')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Cudjoe (23'), Watt (33')
Moult (74')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Quarter-Finals clash between Falkirk and Dundee United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Falkirk 2-1 Edinburgh
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Dunfermline 1-2 Dundee Utd
Friday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
FalkirkDrawDundee United
35.07% (0.574 0.57) 27.36% (0.434 0.43) 37.56% (-1.007 -1.01)
Both teams to score 49.7% (-1.285 -1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.14% (-1.653 -1.65)55.86% (1.654 1.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.02% (-1.363 -1.36)76.98% (1.364 1.36)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (-0.453 -0.45)30.26% (0.454 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.57% (-0.547 -0.55)66.43% (0.54700000000001 0.55)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27% (-1.372 -1.37)28.73% (1.372 1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43% (-1.745 -1.75)64.56% (1.744 1.74)
Score Analysis
    Falkirk 35.07%
    Dundee United 37.56%
    Draw 27.36%
FalkirkDrawDundee United
1-0 @ 10.39% (0.52 0.52)
2-1 @ 7.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.21% (0.237 0.24)
3-1 @ 3.09% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.48% (0.064 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 35.07%
1-1 @ 12.96% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 8.69% (0.54 0.54)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.188 -0.19)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 10.84% (0.28 0.28)
1-2 @ 8.08% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.222 -0.22)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 37.56%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Falkirk 2-1 Edinburgh
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: QotS 1-1 Falkirk
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 3-0 Alloa
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Stirling 1-2 Falkirk
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 1-0 Queen's Park
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Falkirk 0-0 Hamilton
Saturday, October 7 at 5.30pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Dunfermline 1-2 Dundee Utd
Friday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-1 Inverness
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Airdrieonians 0-2 Dundee Utd
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dundee Utd 6-0 Arbroath
Friday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Partick 0-5 Dundee Utd
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Peterhead 0-2 Dundee Utd
Saturday, October 14 at 5.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup


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