SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 36.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Falkirk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Falkirk |
36.61% ( -3.47) | 25.59% ( -0.01) | 37.8% ( 3.49) |
| Both teams to score 55.67% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.67% ( 0.32) | 48.33% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.52% ( 0.3) | 70.48% ( -0.29) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.29% ( -1.72) | 25.71% ( 1.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.36% ( -2.39) | 60.63% ( 2.4) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.94% ( 2.16) | 25.05% ( -2.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.27% ( 2.9) | 59.73% ( -2.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.57) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.43)2-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.71)3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.4)3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.48)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.22)Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.61% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.49)0-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.64)1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.44)0-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.45)2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.22)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.2)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.76% Total : 37.8% |
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