SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 68.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 12.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
68.91% ( 0.19) | 18.3% ( -0.1) | 12.78% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.19% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.72% ( 0.24) | 40.28% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.35% ( 0.24) | 62.66% ( -0.24) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.38% ( 0.12) | 10.62% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.56% ( 0.26) | 34.44% ( -0.25) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.27% ( 0.01) | 42.73% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.94% ( 0.01) | 79.06% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-0 @ 11.41% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.23% Total : 68.91% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0)Other @ 0.99% Total : 18.3% | 0-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.39% Total : 12.78% |
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