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Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Oct 8, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
QP

Kilmarnock
3 - 1
Queen's Park

Shaw (14'), Murray (53'), Hendry (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gillespie (50' pen.)
Longstaff (63')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Kilmarnock and Queen's Park.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 60.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Queen's Park had a probability of 18.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Queen's Park win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawQueen's Park
60.1%21.57%18.33%
Both teams to score 53.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.02%43.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.64%66.37%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.79%14.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.05%41.95%
Queen's Park Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.31%37.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.54%74.46%
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 60.09%
    Queen's Park 18.33%
    Draw 21.56%
KilmarnockDrawQueen's Park
1-0 @ 10.45%
2-0 @ 10.19%
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.63%
3-1 @ 6.47%
4-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 3.16%
4-1 @ 3.16%
4-2 @ 1.54%
5-0 @ 1.26%
5-1 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 60.09%
1-1 @ 10.19%
0-0 @ 5.36%
2-2 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.56%
0-1 @ 5.23%
1-2 @ 4.98%
0-2 @ 2.55%
1-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 18.33%

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