Kilmarnock
3 - 1
Falkirk

Murray (4', 78'), Naismith (55')
Murray (29')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Nesbitt (8')
Krasniqi (53')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Second Round clash between Kilmarnock and Falkirk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 66.72%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Falkirk had a probability of 13.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Falkirk win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Falkirk
66.72%	19.4%	13.88%

Both teams to score 50.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.3%

42.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.89%

65.11%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.11%

11.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.79%

37.21%

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.41%

42.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.05%

78.95%

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 66.71%

Falkirk 13.88%

Draw 19.4%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Falkirk
2-0 @ 11.48% 1-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 6.96% 4-0 @ 4.34% 4-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 2.97% 5-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.58% 5-1 @ 1.58% Other @ 3.52% Total : 66.71%	1-1 @ 9.2% 0-0 @ 5.06% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.95% Total : 19.4%	0-1 @ 4.32% 1-2 @ 3.93% 0-2 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.19% 1-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.48% Total : 13.88%