Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 45.12%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 26.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.12%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for an Arbroath win it was 1-0 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
