SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 50.78%. A win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Albion Rovers win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for East Fife in this match.
| Result | ||
| East Fife | Draw | Albion Rovers |
50.78% ( -0.06) | 23.08% ( 0.02) | 26.13% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.24% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.57% ( -0.05) | 41.43% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.17% ( -0.05) | 63.82% ( 0.05) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.55% ( -0.04) | 16.44% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.88% ( -0.07) | 46.12% ( 0.07) |
| Albion Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% ( 0) | 29.09% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.98% ( 0) | 65.02% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| East Fife | Draw | Albion Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.8% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 3.37% Total : 50.78% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 3.35% Total : 26.13% |
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