Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 72.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 10.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.4%) and 0-3 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for an Albion Rovers win it was 1-0 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.