Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botosani win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for UTA Arad had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botosani win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest UTA Arad win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Botosani in this match.
0.35) 
-0.2) 
