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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitatea Craiova win with a probability of 50.15%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for UTA Arad had a probability of 24.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitatea Craiova win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a UTA Arad win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universitatea Craiova would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Universitatea Craiova | Draw | UTA Arad |
50.15% ( 0.12) | 24.96% ( 0.02) | 24.89% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.86% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.38% ( -0.21) | 50.62% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.47% ( -0.19) | 72.53% ( 0.19) |
| Universitatea Craiova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.81% ( -0.04) | 20.19% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.5% ( -0.05) | 52.5% ( 0.05) |
| UTA Arad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.98% ( -0.24) | 35.02% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.24% ( -0.25) | 71.76% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Universitatea Craiova | Draw | UTA Arad |
| 1-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.5% 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 50.15% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 24.89% |
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