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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FCSB win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Universitatea Craiova had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FCSB win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Universitatea Craiova win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FCSB would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FCSB | Draw | Universitatea Craiova |
44.95% ( -0.01) | 26.21% ( 0.06) | 28.85% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.15% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.96% ( -0.26) | 53.04% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.37% ( -0.22) | 74.63% ( 0.23) |
| FCSB Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% ( -0.11) | 23.51% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.45% ( -0.17) | 57.55% ( 0.18) |
| Universitatea Craiova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.88% ( -0.17) | 33.13% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.28% ( -0.19) | 69.73% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| FCSB | Draw | Universitatea Craiova |
| 1-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 44.95% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 28.85% |
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