SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitatea Craiova win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Botosani had a probability of 12.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitatea Craiova win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.29%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Botosani win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universitatea Craiova would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Universitatea Craiova | Draw | Botosani |
66.29% ( 0.01) | 20.81% ( -0.01) | 12.9% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 43.45% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.17% ( 0.05) | 50.82% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.29% ( 0.05) | 72.71% ( -0.05) |
| Universitatea Craiova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.49% ( 0.02) | 14.5% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.49% ( 0.04) | 42.5% ( -0.04) |
| Botosani Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.82% ( 0.04) | 49.17% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.92% ( 0.03) | 84.07% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Universitatea Craiova | Draw | Botosani |
| 1-0 @ 13.76% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 13.29% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.56% 3-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.13% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.6% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 66.28% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( -0) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.35% ( 0)Other @ 0.56% Total : 20.81% | 0-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.47% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.57% Total : 12.9% |
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