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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Universitatea Craiova had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Universitatea Craiova win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | Universitatea Craiova |
44.19% ( 0.66) | 23.63% ( 0.09) | 32.17% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 61.55% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.77% ( -0.71) | 40.23% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.4% ( -0.73) | 62.6% ( 0.74) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.48% ( -0.01) | 18.52% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.25% ( -0.02) | 49.75% ( 0.03) |
| Universitatea Craiova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.55% ( -0.77) | 24.45% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.11% ( -1.1) | 58.89% ( 1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maribor | Draw | Universitatea Craiova |
| 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.55% Total : 44.19% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 3% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.76% Total : 32.17% |
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