SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FCSB win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for CSM Iasi had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FCSB win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest CSM Iasi win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FCSB would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FCSB | Draw | CSM Iasi |
46.1% ( 0.01) | 25.98% ( -0.09) | 27.92% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 51.25% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.36% ( 0.42) | 52.63% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.72% ( 0.36) | 74.28% ( -0.35) |
| FCSB Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.2% ( 0.18) | 22.8% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.5% ( 0.27) | 56.5% ( -0.27) |
| CSM Iasi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.38% ( 0.29) | 33.62% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.73% ( 0.31) | 70.27% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| FCSB | Draw | CSM Iasi |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.08% Total : 46.1% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 27.92% |
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