SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
40.03% ( -1.6) | 25.2% ( 0.29) | 34.78% ( 1.31) |
| Both teams to score 56.8% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.22% ( -1.05) | 46.78% ( 1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.96% ( -0.99) | 69.04% ( 0.99) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.81% ( -1.25) | 23.19% ( 1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.91% ( -1.85) | 57.09% ( 1.86) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.96% ( 0.28) | 26.04% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.92% ( 0.37) | 61.08% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 1-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.26)3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.13% Total : 40.03% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.34% Total : 34.78% |
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