Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Akron Tolyatti win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.01) 
