SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 61.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 16.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
61.91% ( -0.17) | 21.66% ( 0.11) | 16.43% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.32% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.45% ( -0.4) | 47.55% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.24% ( -0.37) | 69.76% ( 0.37) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.18% ( -0.19) | 14.82% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.89% ( -0.35) | 43.11% ( 0.35) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.91% ( -0.18) | 42.09% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.48% ( -0.15) | 78.51% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 1-0 @ 11.9% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.39% Total : 61.89% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.66% | 0-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.46% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.72% Total : 16.43% |
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