Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
