Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Rostov win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
