Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dynamo Moscow in this match.