Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 49.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Rotor Volgograd had a probability of 22.95%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Rotor Volgograd win it was 1-0 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
