Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.