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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 28
Jul 12, 2020 at 4.30pm UK
VEB Arena

Dynamo Moscow
2 - 0
Krylia Sovetov

Philipp (15' pen.), Komlichenko (24' pen.)
Skopintsev (32'), Komlichenko (35'), Rykov (43'), Ordets (71')
Pliev (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Karpov (23'), Radonjic (40'), Lystsov (68'), Kombarov (90+1'), Kiselev (90+3')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Dynamo Moscow and Krylia Sovetov.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 51.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 22.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.

Result
Dynamo MoscowDrawKrylia Sovetov
51.25%25.92%22.83%
Both teams to score 46.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.96%56.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.87%77.13%
Dynamo Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.07%21.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.79%55.21%
Krylia Sovetov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.08%39.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.42%76.58%
Score Analysis
    Dynamo Moscow 51.24%
    Krylia Sovetov 22.83%
    Draw 25.91%
Dynamo MoscowDrawKrylia Sovetov
1-0 @ 13.28%
2-0 @ 10.07%
2-1 @ 9.25%
3-0 @ 5.1%
3-1 @ 4.68%
3-2 @ 2.15%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-1 @ 1.78%
Other @ 3%
Total : 51.24%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 8.75%
2-2 @ 4.25%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.04%
1-2 @ 5.6%
0-2 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 1.72%
2-3 @ 1.3%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 22.83%


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