Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 1-2 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.