Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
