Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 51.88%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 0-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
