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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 23
Mar 17, 2021 at 5pm UK
Akhmat Arena

Akhmat Grozny
2 - 0
Arsenal Tula

Semenov (34'), Ilyin (47')
Silva (21'), Shvets (28'), Ilyin (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Causic (27'), Sokol (32'), Panteleev (35'), Kangwa (90+1')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Akhmat Grozny and Arsenal Tula.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Arsenal Tula win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.

Result
Akhmat GroznyDrawArsenal Tula
43.65%27.68%28.66%
Both teams to score 46.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.36%58.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.81%79.19%
Akhmat Grozny Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.33%26.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.08%61.92%
Arsenal Tula Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.75%36.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.97%73.03%
Score Analysis
    Akhmat Grozny 43.65%
    Arsenal Tula 28.66%
    Draw 27.68%
Akhmat GroznyDrawArsenal Tula
1-0 @ 12.77%
2-1 @ 8.57%
2-0 @ 8.44%
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 3.72%
3-2 @ 1.92%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 43.65%
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 9.67%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 9.81%
1-2 @ 6.58%
0-2 @ 4.98%
1-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 28.66%

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