Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 57.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Dynamo Makhachkala had a probability of 18.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Dynamo Makhachkala win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.