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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 28
May 11, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Otkrytiye Arena
K

Spartak Moscow
1 - 0
Krasnodar

Zobnin (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pantaleao (81')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Spartak Moscow and FC Krasnodar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 0-0 Spartak Moscow
Sunday, May 5 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krasnodar 0-1 Akhmat Grozny
Saturday, May 4 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Spartak MoscowDrawFC Krasnodar
44.78% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04) 23.75% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 31.47% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 60.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.89% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)41.1% (0.017999999999994 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.5% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)63.49% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.37% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)18.63% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.06% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)49.93% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
FC Krasnodar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.69% (0.012 0.01)25.3% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.92% (0.017000000000003 0.02)60.07% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Spartak Moscow 44.78%
    FC Krasnodar 31.47%
    Draw 23.75%
Spartak MoscowDrawFC Krasnodar
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 7.92%
2-0 @ 6.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.57% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 44.78%
1-1 @ 10.88%
2-2 @ 6.29%
0-0 @ 4.71% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 7.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.48% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.43% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 31.47%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 0-0 Spartak Moscow
Sunday, May 5 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 3-2 Lokomotiv
Sunday, April 28 at 2.15pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: CSKA 0-0 Spartak Moscow
Thursday, April 25 at 6.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Rostov 1-5 Spartak Moscow
Sunday, April 21 at 6.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Sochi 1-0 Spartak Moscow
Saturday, April 13 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 1-2 Spartak Moscow
Sunday, April 7 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krasnodar 0-1 Akhmat Grozny
Saturday, May 4 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 0-0 Krasnodar
Monday, April 29 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krasnodar 3-2 Baltika
Wednesday, April 24 at 6.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krasnodar 2-0 Fakel
Friday, April 19 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krasnodar 1-2 Zenit
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 3-4 Krasnodar
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League


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