SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
46.55% ( -0.01) | 23.72% ( 0.01) | 29.72% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.9% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.16% ( -0.07) | 41.83% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.76% ( -0.07) | 64.23% ( 0.06) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.79% ( -0.03) | 18.19% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.79% ( -0.05) | 49.2% ( 0.04) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.22% ( -0.05) | 26.77% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.94% ( -0.06) | 62.04% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0)Other @ 3.61% Total : 46.55% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 29.72% |
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