Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for FC Tambov had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest FC Tambov win was 1-0 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.