Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Khimki win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for FC Ufa had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Khimki win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest FC Ufa win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Khimki would win this match.