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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 17, 2020 at 5pm UK
SK Rodina

Khimki
2 - 3
Spartak Moscow

Mirzov (48'), Idowu (85')
Troshechkin (7'), Mirzov (40'), Kukharchuk (52'), Logashov (57'), Glushakov (88'), Danilkin (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kokorin (58' pen.), Ponce (63'), Larsson (77')
Ponce (29'), Maslov (31'), Kokorin (70')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Khimki and Spartak Moscow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 18.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.62%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Khimki win it was 1-0 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
KhimkiDrawSpartak Moscow
18.81%22.72%58.47%
Both teams to score 50.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83%48.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.67%70.32%
Khimki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.4%39.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.72%76.28%
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.84%16.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.39%45.61%
Score Analysis
    Khimki 18.82%
    Spartak Moscow 58.46%
    Draw 22.71%
KhimkiDrawSpartak Moscow
1-0 @ 5.93%
2-1 @ 5.01%
2-0 @ 2.75%
3-1 @ 1.55%
3-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 18.82%
1-1 @ 10.8%
0-0 @ 6.4%
2-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.71%
0-1 @ 11.66%
0-2 @ 10.62%
1-2 @ 9.85%
0-3 @ 6.46%
1-3 @ 5.98%
0-4 @ 2.94%
2-3 @ 2.77%
1-4 @ 2.73%
2-4 @ 1.26%
0-5 @ 1.07%
1-5 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 58.46%


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