Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 18.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.62%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Khimki win it was 1-0 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.