Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Khimki win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.