Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Khimki win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Rotor Volgograd had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Khimki win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Rotor Volgograd win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.