Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Tula win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Tula win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Khimki win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.