Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Rotor Volgograd had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Rotor Volgograd win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Spartak Moscow in this match.