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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2020 at 4.30pm UK
Volgograd Arena

Rotor
0 - 1
Spartak Moscow


Makarov (28'), Kverkvelia (53'), Bairyev (66'), Gogoua (71'), Kozhemyakin (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bakaev (54' pen.)
Bakaev (5'), Zobnin (65'), Yeshchenko (90+1'), Sobolev (90+3'), Maximenko (90+4'), Maslov (90+7')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Rotor Volgograd and Spartak Moscow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Rotor Volgograd had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Rotor Volgograd win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Spartak Moscow in this match.

Result
Rotor VolgogradDrawSpartak Moscow
31.96%27.26%40.77%
Both teams to score 49.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.02%55.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.93%77.07%
Rotor Volgograd Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.62%32.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.1%68.89%
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.03%26.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.69%62.3%
Score Analysis
    Rotor Volgograd 31.96%
    Spartak Moscow 40.77%
    Draw 27.26%
Rotor VolgogradDrawSpartak Moscow
1-0 @ 9.84%
2-1 @ 7.28%
2-0 @ 5.55%
3-1 @ 2.73%
3-0 @ 2.09%
3-2 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 31.96%
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 8.73%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.26%
0-1 @ 11.44%
1-2 @ 8.46%
0-2 @ 7.5%
1-3 @ 3.7%
0-3 @ 3.28%
2-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 1.21%
0-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 40.77%


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