Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Khimki win with a probability of 52.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 23.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Khimki win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Khimki in this match.