Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 49.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Rotor Volgograd had a probability of 25.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Rotor Volgograd win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ural Yekaterinburg in this match.