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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 23
Mar 18, 2021 at 4pm UK
Luzhniki Stadium

Spartak Moscow
5 - 1
Ural

Larsson (12', 57'), Promes (26'), Sobolev (45+3' pen., 90+8' pen.)
Gigot (74'), Kutepov (76'), Larsson (84'), Lucas (86')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Bicfalvi (55' pen.)
Gerasimov (56'), Konovalov (85'), Strandberg (90+6')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Spartak Moscow and Ural Yekaterinburg.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 18.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 2-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Spartak MoscowDrawUral Yekaterinburg
60.48%21.21%18.31%
Both teams to score 54.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.62%42.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.22%64.78%
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.42%13.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.31%40.69%
Ural Yekaterinburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.24%36.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.45%73.54%
Score Analysis
    Spartak Moscow 60.48%
    Ural Yekaterinburg 18.32%
    Draw 21.21%
Spartak MoscowDrawUral Yekaterinburg
1-0 @ 9.97%
2-1 @ 9.96%
2-0 @ 9.95%
3-1 @ 6.63%
3-0 @ 6.62%
3-2 @ 3.32%
4-1 @ 3.31%
4-0 @ 3.31%
4-2 @ 1.66%
5-1 @ 1.32%
5-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 60.48%
1-1 @ 9.97%
0-0 @ 4.99%
2-2 @ 4.98%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.21%
0-1 @ 5%
1-2 @ 4.99%
0-2 @ 2.5%
1-3 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 18.32%

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